The Americans' Choice, How will it Impact on the World
Military Might and NATO Military alliances, especially NATO, stand at a crossroads. Former NATO deputy secretary Rose Gottemoeller warns that a Trump victory could unsettle Europe, recalling his past threats to reduce support for NATO. While Trump insists that increased spending by NATO members is essential, his unpredictable statements raise concerns among allies. Harris, on the other hand, is seen as a steady partner for NATO, but would still expect Europe to share more of the defense burden. In either case, a shift in U.S. policy may lead Europe to take on a larger leadership role within NATO.
US Role as a Peacemaker The next U.S. president will face complex challenges on the global stage, especially as wars persist in Gaza, Ukraine, and Sudan. Comfort Ero, CEO of the International Crisis Group, believes America remains influential in peace efforts but with less authority than before. Harris has voiced consistent support for Ukraine and expressed caution on conflicts like Gaza, advocating for the protection of civilians. Trump, however, favors a more hands-off approach, signaling he might cut back U.S. support for Ukraine and give Israel more freedom to act in Gaza. Observers worry that a Trump administration could prioritize U.S. interests over multilateral peacebuilding.
Economic Policy and Relations with China is a major point of contention, with Trump proposing a significant increase in tariffs on Chinese goods. While Trump claims he has a strong rapport with China’s President Xi Jinping, he often emphasizes a need for economic protectionism. Both parties are expected to take a tough stance on China, but Harris would likely continue the current cautious approach, focusing on steady relations. Trump’s unpredictability, however, could lead to sudden shifts in policy. Economists suggest that a Trump victory could create economic instability, while Harris may push for a more stable, albeit competitive, relationship.
Climate Crisis and Global Aid On climate issues, Harris is expected to build on existing U.S. commitments to green energy and international cooperation, whereas Trump has dismissed climate policies, calling them a “scam.” Trump could withdraw the U.S. from the Paris Agreement again while Harris may work with other global powers to address climate change. Former UN official Mary Robinson stresses that global climate leadership from the U.S. is essential, and only sustained commitment can drive meaningful change.
Implications for Sri Lanka, the impact of the U.S. election could play out in different ways. Trump’s focus on domestic issues may mean less involvement in regional politics, potentially allowing Sri Lanka more autonomy in its foreign policy. However, Sri Lankans in the U.S. and prospective immigrants could face more restrictions under Trump’s administration.
In contrast, a Harris-led administration may engage more actively in Sri Lankan politics, with possible implications for the country’s sovereignty. Harris’s commitment to multilateralism may increase U.S. involvement in South Asian affairs, which could have both positive and challenging consequences for Sri Lanka in the long term.